Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.403314 3.928212 4.504289 5.183068 5.960647 6.823249 7.852487
2025-01-19 2.484054 3.123736 3.884900 4.856073 6.061073 7.505957 9.369142
2025-01-26 2.069478 2.804193 3.742043 5.023992 6.727817 8.911661 11.920783
2025-02-02 1.818231 2.633616 3.741593 5.351564 7.625398 10.715897 15.229294
2025-02-09 1.558138 2.398578 3.607531 5.464522 8.235442 12.206026 18.315893
2025-02-16 1.339120 2.180076 3.454616 5.514313 8.745567 13.603510 21.441323
2025-02-23 1.122649 1.925882 3.204047 5.369576 8.928499 14.522070 23.949924
2025-03-02 0.929049 1.674228 2.915531 5.113811 8.886843 15.067341 25.916234
2025-03-09 0.819977 1.546349 2.808373 5.136115 9.293409 16.365587 29.247989
2025-03-16 0.705984 1.390687 2.629273 5.004313 9.409927 17.178668 31.836054
2025-03-23 0.666221 1.365536 2.677823 5.284565 10.288851 19.404447 37.156961
2025-03-30 0.616823 1.313654 2.668287 5.451957 10.974723 21.352144 42.183502
2025-04-06 0.551494 1.222557 2.576124 5.457716 11.373934 22.855000 46.636816
2025-04-13 0.466532 1.076982 2.354997 5.174406 11.165652 23.174465 48.843785
2025-04-20 0.438143 1.049511 2.373561 5.390592 12.004966 25.656358 55.677133
2025-04-27 0.424853 1.053901 2.460573 5.765260 13.226300 29.054434 64.802159
2025-05-04 0.394251 1.012896 2.441372 5.901291 13.945146 31.483363 72.156977
2025-05-11 0.361936 0.962425 2.393213 5.963742 14.505682 33.633437 79.152168
2025-05-18 0.320339 0.881812 2.262497 5.812688 14.552679 34.652530 83.731080
2025-05-25 0.277410 0.790379 2.091912 5.539368 14.270322 34.884929 86.514005
2025-06-01 0.255074 0.750307 2.043793 5.565213 14.719697 36.864787 93.636979
2025-06-08 0.227321 0.690601 1.936570 5.423751 14.730915 37.800642 98.345430
2025-06-15 0.221720 0.693199 1.994605 5.727382 15.924840 41.751660 110.949207